The Wisconsin Legislative Fiscal Bureau analysis estimates the state is losing about $100 million a year by not expanding its Medicaid eligibility as much as allowed under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA). This mudslinging by Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker’s gubernatorial challenger is disingenuous and ignores the fact that Wisconsin made a better choice by allowing many of its low-income uninsured to access private coverage with federal subsidies.
Over the past several years state legislators have grappled with the pros and cons of Medicaid expansion under the ACA. The carrot dangled in front of state legislators is financial; states that agree to expand Medicaid eligibility to 138 percent of the federal poverty level (FPL) can expect the federal government to reimburse states for most of the cost for newly eligible enrollees. Critics of Medicaid expansion counter that the savings are front-loaded in the early years, whereas state costs begin to rise in later years when it’s too late for states to back out. Whereas the federal government will pay 100 percent of the costs through 2016, the feds begin ratcheting the matching rate down to 90% by 2019.