A version of this Health Alert appeared at Forbes.
If there is one thing that the Administration and Democratic candidates have in their favor going into the mid-term elections, it is that election day is November 4, and Obamacare’s second open enrollment begins on November 15. If the dates were flipped, there is little doubt that voters affected by Obamacare would wreak havoc on the politicians who imposed the Rube Goldberg contraption of exchanges on them.
Despite having just tossed another $60 million out the window “to help consumers navigate their health care coverage options in the Health Insurance Marketplace,” the Administration will likely face an even more bemused and disgruntled population of Obamacare “consumers” than it did the first time around.
Obamacare enrollment may already be below the 8.1 million trumpeted by the Administration after the first enrolment season legally closed on March 31 (although it actually closed sometime around the middle of April). Because there are special circumstances (for example, marriage, divorce, or moving to a new state) that allow people to change coverage outside enrollment season, that number has changed.
Unfortunately, the Administration has stopped reporting exchange enrollment, which it used to do monthly. The latest evidence, from Amanda Kowalski of Yale University and the Brookings Institution, is that 13.2 million people were covered in the individual market at the end of June, representing an increase of 4.2 million above the pre-Obamacare trend. This includes both on-exchange and off-exchange coverage.