According to a new report by the Congressional Budget office health coverage paid for by U.S. taxpayers is expect to rise over the next 10 years.
Families with employer coverage are expected to decline by 2% from 2016 through 2026. Unsubsidized individual medical coverage is not expected to change. Traditional Medicaid and SCHIP — those eligible for Medicaid prior to the Affordable Care Act (ACA) — is expected to decline slightly, while the uninsured is expected to increase slightly. All told, traditional Medicaid will fall by 1 million people while the uninsured will rise by 1 million people. The disabled with Medicare coverage is also not expected to change.
Where all the growth in health coverage will occur is subsidized plans. Individuals with subsidized coverage through the federal and state exchanges are expected to increase by 40%, while those newly eligible for Medicaid due to the ACA will increase by 36%.